Conference game
Northwestern at Minnesota
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Northwestern 73% Favorite
Minnesota 27% Underdog
Northwestern is the model's favorite at 73%. Minnesota has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Minnesota — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northwestern offense
40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Minnesota offense
40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup