2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Washington at Michigan State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Spartan Stadium
Washington
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.8
- National rank
- 18
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 32%
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 2.2
- National rank
- 62
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Washington
84%
Michigan State
16%
Michigan State 90% CI: 12% – 22% Δ rating 13.6
Washington is the model's favorite at 84%. Michigan State has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.4 rating points baked in for Michigan State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Washington offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Michigan State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Spartan Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No