2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Indiana at Michigan
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Michigan Stadium
Indiana
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 25.8
- National rank
- 5
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 100%
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 17.0
- National rank
- 15
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Indiana
70%
Michigan
30%
Michigan 90% CI: 22% – 38% Δ rating 8.8
Indiana is the model's favorite at 70%. Michigan has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=67 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Indiana offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Michigan offense
28 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Michigan Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No