Conference game
Michigan State at Wisconsin
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 12:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Michigan State | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 Wisconsin Winner | 14 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: Wisconsin at 86%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Michigan State 14% Underdog
Wisconsin 86% Favorite
Wisconsin is the model's favorite at 86%. Michigan State has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Wisconsin — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.