2026 Week 1
Western Michigan at Michigan
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Michigan Stadium
Western Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.0
- National rank
- 90
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 17.0
- National rank
- 15
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Western Michigan
6%
Michigan
94%
Michigan 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 23.0
Michigan is the model's favorite at 94%. Western Michigan has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.7 rating points baked in for Michigan — venue-specific night-game value (n=67 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Western Michigan offense
29 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Michigan offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
62°F
Precipitation
2%
Wind
7 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Michigan Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No