Notre Dame at Syracuse
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Notre Dame 96% Favorite
Syracuse 4% Underdog
Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 96%. Syracuse has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Syracuse — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Notre Dame offense
Higher fit 44 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Syracuse offense
31 / 100 Style-neutral matchup