2026 Week 12
SMU at Notre Dame
Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
Notre Dame Stadium
SMU
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.1
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 26.5
- National rank
- 3
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 93%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
SMU
11%
Notre Dame
89%
Notre Dame 90% CI: 85% – 92% Δ rating 14.4
Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 89%. SMU has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Notre Dame — venue-specific learned value (n=64 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
SMU offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Notre Dame offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Notre Dame Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No