Conference game
Duke at Miami
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Duke 9% Underdog
Miami 91% Favorite
Miami is the model's favorite at 91%. Duke has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Miami — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Duke offense
34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Miami offense
Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup