Conference game
Florida State at Miami
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Florida State | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 |
 Miami Winner | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 15 | 43 |
GIE pre-game call: Miami at 93%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Florida State 7% Underdog
Miami 93% Favorite
Miami is the model's favorite at 93%. Florida State has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Miami — venue-specific night-game value (n=55 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Miami recap Miami: 2026 Week 7 recap Miami sits at No. 5 overall, undefeated through five games with a 25.7 rating that hasn't budged week-over-week—a sign the Hurricanes are performing exactly to expectation rather than trending up or down. Their most recent statement came…
- Florida State recap Florida State: 2026 Week 7 recap Florida State sits at 53rd overall with a 3–2 record after dismantling Virginia 38–7 in Week 5, though GIE's rating remains flat at 5.7. The blowout didn't move the needle because the Seminoles' underlying efficiency metrics remain…