2026 Week 3 · Conference game
Syracuse at Pittsburgh
Thursday, September 17, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Acrisure Stadium
Syracuse
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.9
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 2.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Syracuse
23%
Pittsburgh
77%
Pittsburgh 90% CI: 70% – 83% Δ rating 8.1
Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 77%. Syracuse has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Pittsburgh — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Syracuse offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Pittsburgh offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
79°F
Precipitation
11%
Wind
1 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, September 17, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Acrisure Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No