Conference game
SMU at Florida State
Monday, September 7, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SMU Winner | 7 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 27 |
 Florida State | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
GIE pre-game call: SMU at 61%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
SMU 61% Favorite
Florida State 39% Underdog
SMU is the model's favorite at 61%. Florida State has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.1 rating points baked in for Florida State — venue-specific night-game value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.