2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Florida at Kentucky
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Kroger Field
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.2
- National rank
- 20
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Kentucky
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.2
- National rank
- 47
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida
71%
Kentucky
29%
Kentucky 90% CI: 22% – 38% Δ rating 10.0
Florida is the model's favorite at 71%. Kentucky has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kentucky offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kroger Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No