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Conference game

West Virginia at Texas Tech

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:30 PM EST

GIE win probability

West Virginia 9% Underdog
Texas Tech 91% Favorite
Texas Tech 90% CI
87–93%
Δ rating
Texas Tech +18.4

Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 91%. West Virginia has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.2 rating points baked in for Texas Tech — venue-specific night-game value (n=52 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

West Virginia offense 20 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Texas Tech offense Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup