Conference game
TCU at Arizona
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 10:15 PM EST
GIE win probability
TCU 16% Underdog
Arizona 84% Favorite
Arizona is the model's favorite at 84%. TCU has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.6 rating points baked in for Arizona — venue-specific night-game value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
TCU offense
32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Arizona offense
Higher fit 35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup