Conference game
Colorado at Arizona State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Colorado 23% Underdog
Arizona State 77% Favorite
Arizona State is the model's favorite at 77%. Colorado has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Arizona State — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado offense
32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Arizona State offense
Higher fit 42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup