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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Utah at Cincinnati

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Nippert Stadium

Utah
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
9.8
National rank
29
Proj. wins
9.5
Playoff prob.
75%
Cincinnati
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
3.0
National rank
59
Proj. wins
5.7
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Utah
63%
Cincinnati
37%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 28% – 46% Δ rating 6.8

Utah is the model's favorite at 63%. Cincinnati has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Utah offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Cincinnati offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Nippert Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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