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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Oklahoma State at Iowa State

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Jack Trice Stadium

Oklahoma State
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
6.9
National rank
39
Proj. wins
2.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Iowa State
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
-0.4
National rank
69
Proj. wins
7.1
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Oklahoma State
51%
Iowa State
49%
Iowa State 90% CI: 40% – 58% Δ rating 7.3

Oklahoma State is the model's favorite at 51%. Iowa State has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.9 rating points baked in for Iowa State — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Oklahoma State offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Iowa State offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Jack Trice Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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