2026 Week 6 · Conference game
UCF at Oklahoma State
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Boone Pickens Stadium
UCF
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.7
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Oklahoma State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.9
- National rank
- 39
- Proj. wins
- 2.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UCF
30%
Oklahoma State
70%
Oklahoma State 90% CI: 61% – 77% Δ rating 5.2
Oklahoma State is the model's favorite at 70%. UCF has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Oklahoma State — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UCF offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Oklahoma State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Boone Pickens Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No