Bowling Green at Iowa State
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bowling Green | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
 Iowa State Winner | 21 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 |
GIE pre-game call: Iowa State at 95%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Bowling Green 5% Underdog
Iowa State 95% Favorite
Iowa State is the model's favorite at 95%. Bowling Green has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.7 rating points baked in for Iowa State — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Iowa State recap Iowa State: 2026 Week 3 recap Iowa State sits at 1–0 after dismantling Southeast Missouri State 38–10 in Week 1, though GIE's rating remains flat at –0.4, placing them 69th nationally. The blowout victory over an FCS opponent hasn't moved the needle much—the model is…
- Bowling Green recap Bowling Green: 2026 Week 3 recap Bowling Green sits at 0–1 after falling to Tarleton State 20–13 in Week 1, and the rating hasn't budged since. GIE has them at 118th overall with an expected-wins projection of 3.9, reflecting a roster unlikely to string together many…