Iowa State at Iowa
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iowa State | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
 Iowa Winner | 0 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 16 |
GIE pre-game call: Iowa at 88%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Iowa State 12% Underdog
Iowa 88% Favorite
Iowa is the model's favorite at 88%. Iowa State has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.