2026 Week 1 FINAL · Neutral site
North Carolina at TCU
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Aviva Stadium
15
North Carolina
Final
10
TCU
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| TCU | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
GIE pre-game call: TCU at 68%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
North Carolina
ACC
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 3.5
- National rank
- 56
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
TCU
Big 12
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- 9.4
- National rank
- 32
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Carolina
32%
TCU
68%
TCU 90% CI: 59% – 75% Δ rating 5.9
TCU is the model's favorite at 68%. North Carolina has a 32% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Aviva Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes