2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Alabama at Tennessee
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Neyland Stadium
Alabama
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 17.6
- National rank
- 13
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
Tennessee
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 17.3
- National rank
- 14
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Alabama
50%
Tennessee
50%
Tennessee 90% CI: 40% – 59% Δ rating 0.3
Alabama is the model's favorite at 50%. Tennessee has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Alabama offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tennessee offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Neyland Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No