Conference game
Mississippi State at LSU
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mississippi State | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 LSU Winner | 14 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: LSU at 95%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Mississippi State 5% Underdog
LSU 95% Favorite
LSU is the model's favorite at 95%. Mississippi State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.1 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Mississippi State recap Mississippi State: 2026 Week 7 recap Mississippi State holds steady at 18th in GIE's ratings after a brutal Week 5 loss to Alabama—a 56-23 home defeat that effectively reset the season's narrative. The Bulldogs are 4-1 on the field, but the model's expected-wins figure of…
- LSU recap LSU: 2026 Week 7 recap LSU sits at 10th overall with a 4–1 record and a rating of 21.3, unchanged from last week despite the 63–14 demolition of McNeese at home. The lopsided win over a FCS opponent didn't move the needle—GIE's assessment of the Tigers remains…