Conference game
Alabama at Mississippi State
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alabama Winner | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 |
 Mississippi State | 7 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 23 |
GIE pre-game call: Alabama at 81%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Alabama 81% Favorite
Mississippi State 19% Underdog
Alabama is the model's favorite at 81%. Mississippi State has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Mississippi State — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.