2026 Week 3
NC State at Vanderbilt
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC
FirstBank Stadium
NC State
ACC
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- 5.7
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Vanderbilt
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 9.8
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 52%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
NC State
29%
Vanderbilt
71%
Vanderbilt 90% CI: 63% – 78% Δ rating 4.1
Vanderbilt is the model's favorite at 71%. NC State has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Vanderbilt — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
NC State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Vanderbilt offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC
- Venue
- FirstBank Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No