2026 Week 2
Oklahoma at Michigan
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Michigan Stadium
Oklahoma
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 18.8
- National rank
- 11
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 27%
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 17.0
- National rank
- 15
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oklahoma
50%
Michigan
50%
Michigan 90% CI: 41% – 59% Δ rating 1.8
Michigan is the model's favorite at 50%. Oklahoma has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=67 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oklahoma offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Michigan offense
27 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Mainly clear
Temperature
90°F
Precipitation
10%
Wind
9 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Michigan Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No