2026 Week 1 · Neutral site
Baylor at Auburn
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.8
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Auburn
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.5
- National rank
- 26
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Baylor
28%
Auburn
72%
Auburn 90% CI: 64% – 79% Δ rating 7.7
Auburn is the model's favorite at 72%. Baylor has a 28% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Baylor offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Auburn offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- Yes