Owls · American Athletic
Head coach Scott Abell Year 2 with Rice
Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes Rice's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs Houston Christian Non-FBS | Win, 31-3 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at Notre Dame FBS Independents | Loss, 0-52 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs Western Michigan Mid-American | Loss, 21-28 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 27 | at Fresno State Pac-12 | Loss, 24-38 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs UTSA American Athletic | Loss, 14-16 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at East Carolina American Athletic | Loss, 12-28 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | vs Tulsa American Athletic | Loss, 17-38 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at Florida Atlantic American Athletic | Loss, 49-51 Final |
| Wk 9 | Bye | |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at North Texas American Athletic | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs Tulane American Athletic | |
| Wk 12 Nov 20 | at Temple American Athletic | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Army American Athletic | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a -3.0 rating drop and a -11.8pp shift in playoff probability if Rice loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
29 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−0.7 rating
23 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Koa AkuiS From Sacramento State | Sacramento State | 90 |
| Stone CombsLB From Nevada | Nevada | 75 |
| AJ BrownS From UAB | UAB | 56 |
| Max MoseyWR From Holy Cross | Holy Cross | 52 |
| Austin HarnetiauxLB From Nevada | Nevada | 35 |
| Tariq WatsonCB From UAB | UAB | 21 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
