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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Kennesaw State
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-12.9
National rank
113
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-26.5
National rank
135
Proj. wins
4.5
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Kennesaw State
83%
Middle Tennessee
17%
Middle Tennessee 90% CI: 13% – 23% Δ rating 13.6

Kennesaw State is the model's favorite at 83%. Middle Tennessee has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.2 rating points baked in for Middle Tennessee — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Kennesaw State offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Middle Tennessee offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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