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2026 Week 6 · Conference game

Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State

Wednesday, October 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Fifth Third Stadium

Jacksonville State
Conference USA
Record
0-1
Rating
-7.8
National rank
95
Proj. wins
5.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Kennesaw State
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-12.9
National rank
113
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Jacksonville State
48%
Kennesaw State
52%
Kennesaw State 90% CI: 42% – 61% Δ rating 5.1

Kennesaw State is the model's favorite at 52%. Jacksonville State has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.6 rating points baked in for Kennesaw State — venue-specific learned value (n=10 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Jacksonville State offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Kennesaw State offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Wednesday, October 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
Fifth Third Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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