2026 Week 2
Middle Tennessee at Marshall
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -26.5
- National rank
- 135
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Marshall
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.2
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Middle Tennessee
11%
Marshall
89%
Marshall 90% CI: 85% – 92% Δ rating 18.3
Marshall is the model's favorite at 89%. Middle Tennessee has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.5 rating points baked in for Marshall — venue-specific night-game value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Middle Tennessee offense
48 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Marshall offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Drizzle
Temperature
72°F
Precipitation
10%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Joan C. Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No