Middle Tennessee at Marshall
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Middle Tennessee | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 |
 Marshall Winner | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 28 |
GIE pre-game call: Marshall at 62%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Middle Tennessee 38% Underdog
Marshall 62% Favorite
Marshall is the model's favorite at 62%. Middle Tennessee has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.6 rating points baked in for Marshall — venue-specific night-game value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.