2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Brooks Stadium (SC)
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.7
- National rank
- 117
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arkansas State
58%
Coastal Carolina
42%
Coastal Carolina 90% CI: 33% – 52% Δ rating 3.1
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 58%. Coastal Carolina has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.6 rating points baked in for Coastal Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arkansas State offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Coastal Carolina offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Brooks Stadium (SC)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No