2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Central Michigan at Buffalo
Wednesday, November 18, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
UB Stadium
Central Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.1
- National rank
- 119
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Central Michigan
30%
Buffalo
70%
Buffalo 90% CI: 61% – 77% Δ rating 2.4
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 70%. Central Michigan has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.2 rating points baked in for Buffalo — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Central Michigan offense
32 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Buffalo offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, November 18, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- UB Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No