Search 4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind
Conference game

Ohio at Akron

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST

GIE win probability

Ohio 94% Favorite
Akron 6% Underdog
Ohio 90% CI
92–96%
Δ rating
Ohio +23.6

Ohio is the model's favorite at 94%. Akron has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Akron — venue-specific night-game value (n=42 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Ohio offense 37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Akron offense Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup