2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Western Michigan at Toledo
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Glass Bowl
Western Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.0
- National rank
- 90
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Toledo
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -9.1
- National rank
- 99
- Proj. wins
- 8.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Western Michigan
55%
Toledo
45%
Toledo 90% CI: 36% – 54% Δ rating 3.1
Western Michigan is the model's favorite at 55%. Toledo has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Toledo — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Western Michigan offense
21 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Toledo offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Glass Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No