2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
UB Stadium
Bowling Green
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.0
- National rank
- 118
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Bowling Green
31%
Buffalo
69%
Buffalo 90% CI: 61% – 77% Δ rating 2.3
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 69%. Bowling Green has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.2 rating points baked in for Buffalo — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Bowling Green offense
33 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Buffalo offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- UB Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No