2026 Week 3
Charlotte at App State
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Kidd Brewer Stadium
Charlotte
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -24.1
- National rank
- 132
- Proj. wins
- 1.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Charlotte
16%
App State
84%
App State 90% CI: 78% – 88% Δ rating 11.4
App State is the model's favorite at 84%. Charlotte has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for App State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Charlotte offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
App State offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Kidd Brewer Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No