2026 Week 2
App State at East Carolina
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
App State
16%
East Carolina
84%
East Carolina 90% CI: 79% – 89% Δ rating 10.4
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 84%. App State has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for East Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
App State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
East Carolina offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
78°F
Precipitation
14%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No