Conference game
New Mexico at Wyoming
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 9:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
New Mexico 73% Favorite
Wyoming 27% Underdog
New Mexico is the model's favorite at 73%. Wyoming has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +8.5 rating points baked in for Wyoming — venue-specific night-game value (n=47 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
New Mexico offense
33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Wyoming offense
Higher fit 35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup