2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Nevada at Northern Illinois
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Huskie Stadium
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.7
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.2
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Nevada
62%
Northern Illinois
38%
Northern Illinois 90% CI: 30% – 47% Δ rating 5.5
Nevada is the model's favorite at 62%. Northern Illinois has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Northern Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Nevada offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Northern Illinois offense
34 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Huskie Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No