2026 Week 10 · Conference game
New Mexico at Nevada
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
Mackay Stadium
New Mexico
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.0
- National rank
- 68
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.7
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico
70%
Nevada
30%
Nevada 90% CI: 23% – 38% Δ rating 11.7
New Mexico is the model's favorite at 70%. Nevada has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Nevada — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
New Mexico offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Nevada offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Mackay Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No