Conference game
Temple at Memphis
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Temple 12% Underdog
Memphis 88% Favorite
Memphis is the model's favorite at 88%. Temple has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.1 rating points baked in for Memphis — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Temple offense
37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Memphis offense
Higher fit 44 / 100 Style-neutral matchup