Conference game
East Carolina at Charlotte
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
East Carolina 93% Favorite
Charlotte 7% Underdog
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 93%. Charlotte has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Charlotte — venue-specific learned value (n=44 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
East Carolina offense
Higher fit 42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Charlotte offense
37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup