2026 Week 12 · Conference game
San Diego State at Boise State
Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
Albertsons Stadium
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.7
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Boise State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San Diego State
30%
Boise State
70%
Boise State 90% CI: 62% – 78% Δ rating 4.4
Boise State is the model's favorite at 70%. San Diego State has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Boise State — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
San Diego State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Boise State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Albertsons Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No