Conference game
Boise State at Fresno State
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 10:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boise State Winner | 15 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 38 |
 Fresno State | 13 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: Boise State at 63%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Boise State 63% Favorite
Fresno State 37% Underdog
Boise State is the model's favorite at 63%. Fresno State has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.1 rating points baked in for Fresno State — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.