Conference game
Texas State at San Diego State
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 10:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas State | 10 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 29 |
 San Diego State Winner | 3 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 69%. Miss
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Texas State 69% Favorite
San Diego State 31% Underdog
Texas State is the model's favorite at 69%. San Diego State has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for San Diego State — venue-specific night-game value (n=26 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.