2026 Week 4
Boise State at Western Michigan
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Waldo Stadium
Boise State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Western Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.0
- National rank
- 90
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Boise State
74%
Western Michigan
26%
Western Michigan 90% CI: 19% – 34% Δ rating 11.1
Boise State is the model's favorite at 74%. Western Michigan has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Western Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Boise State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Western Michigan offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Waldo Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No