Fresno State at San José State
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fresno State Winner | 0 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 |
 San José State | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
GIE pre-game call: Fresno State at 83%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Fresno State 83% Favorite
San José State 17% Underdog
Fresno State is the model's favorite at 83%. San José State has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.1 rating points baked in for San José State — venue-specific night-game value (n=47 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- San José State recap San José State: 2026 Week 3 recap San José State sits at 121st overall with a 1–1 record after an opening-week road win at Eastern Michigan. GIE's rating hasn't budged since last week—they remain at –15.7—which suggests the road victory against a peer-level opponent…
- Fresno State recap Fresno State: 2026 Week 3 recap Fresno State remains ranked 73rd by GIE after absorbing a 39–0 road loss to USC in Week 1—a result that left the rating unchanged at –1.4, reflecting pre-game expectations in a matchup between the Pac-12's elite and a rebuilding Group of…