Memphis at Boise State
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 6:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Memphis | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
 Boise State Winner | 3 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 38 |
GIE pre-game call: Boise State at 71%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Memphis 29% Underdog
Boise State 71% Favorite
Boise State is the model's favorite at 71%. Memphis has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Boise State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.