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Conference game

Minnesota at Wisconsin

Friday, November 27, 2026 · 7:30 PM EST

GIE win probability

Minnesota 21% Underdog
Wisconsin 79% Favorite
Wisconsin 90% CI
72–84%
Δ rating
Wisconsin +4.8

Wisconsin is the model's favorite at 79%. Minnesota has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.7 rating points baked in for Wisconsin — venue-specific night-game value (n=60 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Minnesota offense 37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Wisconsin offense Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup